Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | North Carolina Central Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Central Eagles -6 (57-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike DiNunno * | 40 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Glenn Cosey * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | +8.4 |
| Eric Stutz * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Tarius Johnson * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Deverin Muff * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +9.5 |
| Corey Walden | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Marcus Lewis | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Jeff Johnson | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +7.1 |
North Carolina Central Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Willis * | 40 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 6 | -3.7 |
| Jeremy Ingram * | 38 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Stanton Kidd * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -2.5 |
| Emanuel Chapman * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Karamo Jawara | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Jay Copeland | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Drimir Ferguson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Alfonzo Houston | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Antonin Galaya | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter