Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Roseboro * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Player #61948 * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Cook * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Brian Neller * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Chase Plummer * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Player #61947 | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Adrian Satchell | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Player #56945 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Will Wise | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherrod Wright * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Erik Copes * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Anali Okoloji * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Corey Edwards * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Johnny Williams * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marko Gujanicic | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jonathan Arledge | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Bryon Allen | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Vertrail Vaughns | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Holloway | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Vaughn Gray | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter