Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Coppin State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.7% | 1.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.8% | 1.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Coppin State Eagles -12 (55-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Jones | 37 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Halil Kanacevic | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | +0.7 |
| C.J. Aiken | 36 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2.8 |
| Chris Wilson | 31 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -6.1 |
| Langston Galloway | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Ronald Roberts Jr. | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -11.7 |
| Papa Ndao | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.6 |
| Isaiah Miles | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.4 |
Coppin State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Murray | 35 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 23 | +14.0 |
| Taariq Cephas | 31 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Sterling Smith | 28 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +10.0 |
| Patrick Cole | 26 | 3-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +15.8 |
| Collin Johnson | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +4.9 |
| Brandon St. Louis | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +11.7 |
| Zach Burnham | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -9.0 |
| Charles Ieans | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Andre Armstrong | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | -7.6 |
| Mike Simpson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.5 |
* = starter