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2012-12-04

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Charleston Southern Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.9% 85.1% - โœ“
Margin 3.7% 96.3% +18.0 โœ“ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.1% 98.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.2% 82.8% - โœ“

Actual: Charleston Southern Buccaneers +28 (101-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Groselle * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 18 20 -
Marshall Harris * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 10 13 -
Stephen Elmore * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 0 1 4 17 -
Ashton Moore * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 12 15 -
Matt Van Scyoc * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 11 9 -
Lawrence Miller 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 14 17 -
Quinton Marshall 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
C.J. Bray 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Janeil Jenkins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Michael Hundley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Sexton * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 20 25 -
Saah Nimley * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 12 2 0 2 20 35 -
Arlon Harper * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 30 37 -
Paul Gombwer * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 4 12 -
Alhaji Fullah * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 4 11 -
Cedrick Bowen 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 14 19 -
Matt Kennedy 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 5 9 -
Joe Williams 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Malcolm Bernard 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 4 -
Sheldon Strickland 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 4 -
Mitchell Deter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Greg Dorleus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter