Model Predictions
| Model | Marist Red Foxes | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Army Black Knights +34 (91-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Price * | 39 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | -23.4 |
| Isaiah Morton * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -20.2 |
| Manny Thomas * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -24.3 |
| Chavaughn Lewis * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -16.9 |
| Adam Kemp * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -7.1 |
| T.J. Curry | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -12.8 |
| Phillip Lawrence-Ricks | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Eric Truog | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -9.5 |
| Patrick Ramsey | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dorvell Carter | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Pieter Prinsloo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Toth * | 25 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | +6.6 |
| Ella Ellis * | 25 | 8-15 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 14 | +18.1 |
| Larry Toomey * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +20.3 |
| Dylan Cox * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 15 | +7.6 |
| Jordan Springer * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +16.2 |
| Kyle Wilson | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +22.9 |
| Maxwell Lenox | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +15.6 |
| Andrew Stire | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Mo Williams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Tanner Plomb | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Kevin Ferguson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +8.1 |
| Cartavious Kincade | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +3.7 |
| Travis Rollo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Milton Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Kyle Weldon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
* = starter