Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs -27 (53-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedrick Lindsay | 28 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +25.6 |
| Greg Robbins | 25 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +14.2 |
| Alonzo Nelson-Ododa | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | +7.7 |
| Derrick Williams | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +6.5 |
| Darien Brothers | 22 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +15.1 |
| Wayne Sparrow | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -2.1 |
| Kendall Anthony | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -3 | -16.8 |
| Deion Taylor | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Terry Allen | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +4.2 |
| Trey Davis | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Luke Piotrowski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Hill | 33 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -15.5 |
| Keenan Palmore | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -5.6 |
| DeShawn Painter | 26 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -23.3 |
| Aaron Bacote | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2 | -12.3 |
| Nick Wright | 21 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Dimitri Batten | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Richard Ross | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Deion Clark | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.5 |
| Anton Larsen | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Stuart McEwen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter