Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +15 (58-43). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Poole * | 40 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -6.9 |
| O.D. Anosike * | 39 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | -8.9 |
| Evan Hymes * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -8 | -7.7 |
| Trenity Burdine * | 27 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | -4.0 |
| Imoh Silas * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Ryan Oliver | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Rich Audu | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Davis Martens | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Brett Bisping | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Chris Leppanen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demitrius Conger * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | +9.8 |
| Marquise Simmons * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Matthew Wright * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | +8.6 |
| Chris Johnson * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +6.4 |
| Charlon Kloof * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Eric Mosley | 17 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Jordan Gathers | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Michael Davenport | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -0.6 |
| Youssou Ndoye | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +3.9 |
* = starter