Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +16 (81-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stone * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Nino Johnson * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Marland Smith * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Lucas Nutt * | 29 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Corey Wilford * | 28 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nick Niemczyk | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jacob Tolbert | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jared White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A.J. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Pressey * | 40 | 4-18 | 1-7 | 8-12 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Laurence Bowers * | 35 | 10-18 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Negus Webster-Chan * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Earnest Ross * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Alex Oriakhi * | 15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Keion Bell | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Tony Criswell | 21 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Rosburg | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter