Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles -16 (63-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Saunders * | 38 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | +19.8 |
| Christian Webster * | 37 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +9.5 |
| Siyani Chambers * | 37 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | +24.5 |
| Laurent Rivard * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +31.8 |
| Jonah Travis * | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +24.2 |
| Agunwa Okolie | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Steve Moundou-Missi | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Michael Hall | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Alex Nesbitt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Rahon * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -12.7 |
| Ryan Anderson * | 33 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 16 | -16.0 |
| Olivier Hanlan * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -12.4 |
| Patrick Heckmann * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -15.5 |
| Eddie Odio * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -12.9 |
| Lonnie Jackson | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Drew Jacobs | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -7.8 |
| Andrew Van Nest | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Danny Rubin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
| John Cain Carney | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.4 |
* = starter