Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.5% | 99.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.5% | 99.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +32 (88-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Williams * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Connor Miller * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Raijon Kelly * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -2 | - |
| Jaylen Beckham * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Clide Geffrard, Jr. | 36 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Russell Wilson | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Will Cook | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Hayman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mays * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Alex Poythress * | 27 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Archie Goodwin * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Nerlens Noel * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Jarrod Polson | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Harrow | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jon Hood | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter