Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Penn * | 38 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Madarious Gibbs * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Omar Strong * | 31 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner * | 15 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Kyrie Sutton * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Fred Sturdivant | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Clayborn | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dexter Ellington | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 29 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| X. Thames * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Rahon | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| W. Shepard | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| D. Polee II | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Spencer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter