Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Brandon | 0 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| L. Lee | 0 | 11-23 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 11 | - |
| A. Jemerigbe | 0 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Caldwell | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 0 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Jones | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Liston | 0 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| C. Gray | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 21 | - |
| H. Peters | 0 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
* = starter