Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | -7.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Burwell * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jerrelle Benimon * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 34 | - |
| Kris Walden * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Rafriel Guthrie * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Bilal Dixon * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jerome Hairston | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Timajh Parker-Rivera | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Barrington Alston | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #61948 * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Cook * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Brian Neller * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Brett Roseboro * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Chase Plummer * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Player #56944 | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Satchell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #61947 | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter