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2012-12-01

Model Predictions

Model UNC Wilmington Seahawks Marshall Thundering Herd Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 โœ“ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“

Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Craig Ponder * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 4 26 28 -
Tanner Milson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 4 8 -
Cedrick Williams * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 1 4 11 -
Freddie Jackson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Keith Rendleman * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 9 13 -
Chris Dixon 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 8 9 -
Shane Reybold 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 2 0 2 9 -
Matt Wilson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
Luke Hager 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Dylan Sherwood 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kane * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 4 0 2 16 27 -
D. Tinnon * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 1 1 7 20 -
E. Pittman * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 13 18 -
N. Spikes * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 2 0 2 10 23 -
D.D. Scarver * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 3 12 11 -
C. Martin 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 3 2 -
R. Goff 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Hanner 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
D. Boykins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter