Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -9 (55-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Jackson * | 39 | 5-17 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Austin * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Brady Heslip * | 36 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Walton * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Cory Jefferson * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Rico Gathers | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Deuce Bello | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gary Franklin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L.J. Rose | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mays * | 39 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Archie Goodwin * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Alex Poythress * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Nerlens Noel * | 31 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 23 | 1-11 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | - |
| Ryan Harrow | 18 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jarrod Polson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter