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2012-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +4.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% -
Efficiency 81.3% 18.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -9 (55-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jackson * 39 5-17 2-6 5-5 7 5 4 0 7 17 9 -
I. Austin * 36 5-11 1-5 0-2 5 1 1 2 2 11 7 -
B. Heslip * 36 2-7 2-6 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
A.J. Walton * 34 4-9 1-3 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 11 9 -
C. Jefferson * 29 4-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 5 2 10 13 -
R. Gathers 15 2-3 0-0 1-3 7 0 0 0 3 5 6 -
D. Bello 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
G. Franklin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L.J. Rose 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mays * 39 2-9 2-8 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
A. Goodwin * 37 5-11 0-1 7-12 6 5 2 0 5 17 14 -
A. Poythress * 34 6-10 1-2 0-1 6 2 1 2 5 13 9 -
N. Noel * 31 3-14 0-0 2-3 16 2 6 1 2 8 17 -
K. Wiltjer * 23 1-11 1-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 -6 -
R. Harrow 18 1-9 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 2 -1 -
W. Cauley-Stein 13 3-7 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 2 2 6 6 -
J. Polson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter