Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -6 (44-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Brown * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Hayden Humes * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 28 | - |
| Gary Talton * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Barnes * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Joey Miller | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jay Parker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Will Simonton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ahman Fells | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Wiegand | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Sobolewski * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jared Swopshire * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Mike Turner | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tre Demps | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter