Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins -9 (69-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 37 | - |
| X. Thames * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Tapley | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| W. Shepard | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Spencer | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Polee II | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Drew II * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 20 | - |
| Travis Wear * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Adams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Kyle Anderson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Norman Powell | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| David Wear | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter