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2012-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 20.7% 79.3% -
Bradley-Terry 91.3% 8.7% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 64.0% 36.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jamar * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 3 2 0 2 21 34 -
S. Coleman * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
M. Ward * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 6 11 -
K. Deshields * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
A. Martin * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Gregory 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 14 23 -
M. Weisner 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 12 12 -
K. Henderson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 8 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Doolin * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 7 1 0 1 14 25 -
D. Parker * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 16 17 -
C. Dickerson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 20 1 1 0 4 19 37 -
T. Derksen * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 18 22 -
T. Xu * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
M. Tollefsen 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 4 11 -
C. Adams 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
F. Rogers 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
G. Hoffmann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter