Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | -7.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred DuBois * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Cedric Martin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Glen Dean * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Loveridge * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Dallin Bachynski * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Jason Washburn | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Renan Lenz | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Dotson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Taylor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dakarai Tucker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vonn Jones * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Corey Stern * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Wesley Davis * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Joel Wright | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Phil Hawkins | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Deonte' Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ray Dorsey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darius Richardson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Basil Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter