Model Predictions
| Model | Canisius Golden Griffins | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | -8.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.3% | 11.7% | -11.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -18 (65-83). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Baron * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Harold Washington * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Heath * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Chris Manhertz * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Isaac Sosa * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Freddy Asprilla | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Reggie Groves | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Josiah Heath | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Alshwan Hymes | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Cook * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Brett Roseboro * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Chase Plummer * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Brian Neller * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Morgan * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joey Getz | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Adrian Satchell | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Malik Garner | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter