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2012-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 83.9% 16.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% - โœ—
Margin 69.0% 31.0% -4.4 โœ— (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.3% 96.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.3% 96.7% - โœ“

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +14 (64-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Mays * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 16 18 -
Nerlens Noel * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 1 0 10 21 -
Archie Goodwin * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 1 1 2 3 15 -
Kyle Wiltjer * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 6 11 -
Alex Poythress * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 3 4 -
Willie Cauley-Stein 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
Jarrod Polson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Ryan Harrow 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
Jon Hood 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerian Grant * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 4 13 18 -
Eric Atkins * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 3 0 1 16 24 -
Jack Cooley * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 1 13 23 -
Scott Martin * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 8 14 -
Pat Connaughton * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
Cam Biedscheid 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 12 -
Garrick Sherman 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 4 4 -

* = starter