๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% +2.3 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Margin 63.9% 36.1% -3.1 โœ— (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 76.7% 23.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.4% 43.6% - โœ—

Actual: Wagner Seahawks +6 (48-42). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Bray * 43 2-8 0-5 0-1 5 1 6 0 4 4 4 -
Denton Koon * 38 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 4 -2 -
Ian Hummer * 36 5-20 0-2 1-4 7 2 2 1 2 11 1 -
Brendan Connolly * 31 4-10 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 2 8 7 -
Will Barrett * 23 0-2 0-1 1-4 6 0 1 0 5 1 1 -
Clay Wilson 24 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
Hans Brase 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Mack Darrow 14 2-5 1-2 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 7 8 -
Chris Clement 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathon Williams * 40 7-11 0-0 6-7 9 0 0 0 4 20 14 -
Kenneth Ortiz * 38 2-8 0-0 1-4 7 1 1 0 5 5 1 -
Marcus Burton * 21 3-9 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 6 -2 -
Dwaun Anderson * 21 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Naofall Folahan * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Josh Thompson 33 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 3 3 0 2 0 5 -
Eric Fanning 21 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
Orlando Parker 21 1-3 0-0 5-6 5 1 2 1 0 7 13 -
Mario Moody 13 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 3 3 5 8 -

* = starter