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2012-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.8% 21.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% - โœ—

Actual: SMU Mustangs +7 (62-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarred DuBois 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 25 31 -
Jordan Loveridge 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 1 2 10 22 -
Glen Dean 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 3 4 -
Cedric Martin 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 8 12 -
Dallin Bachynski 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 3 3 3 15 -
Jason Washburn 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 2 10 -
Aaron Dotson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 0 -3 -
Dakarai Tucker 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Justin Seymour 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Taylor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Renan Lenz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Russell 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 1 0 4 4 12 -
Ryan Manuel 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 14 17 -
Jalen Jones 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 16 1 1 1 2 20 37 -
Cannen Cunningham 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 4 4 2 8 23 -
Shawn Williams 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 10 11 -
London Giles 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 10 -
Jordan Dickerson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Brian Bernardi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter