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2012-11-28

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% -
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 (22.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.3% 97.7% -
Log Adjusted 2.0% 98.0% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +28 (85-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Starring * 31 5-9 3-5 5-6 5 1 0 0 5 18 10 -
A. Young * 29 1-6 0-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 4 -3 -
A. Folker * 26 6-11 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 12 3 -
C. McNealy * 25 2-7 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -
M. Best * 14 0-3 0-1 2-3 6 2 1 0 0 2 8 -
W. Davis II 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 0 4 6 -
M. Wilder 15 0-2 0-0 2-4 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
D. Flowers 14 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
C. Clifford 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Ryan 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 1 3 -
T. Souza 7 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Wright 3 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moser * 32 6-16 1-3 6-7 9 2 0 0 2 19 12 -
A. Marshall * 30 2-7 1-3 1-2 3 9 1 1 1 6 12 -
K. Reinhardt * 27 4-8 2-5 3-4 1 3 1 0 0 13 10 -
A. Bennett * 23 5-8 0-1 9-12 6 1 2 1 2 19 19 -
B. Dejean-Jones * 21 1-4 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
J. Hawkins 22 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 8 8 -
S. Goodman 19 2-4 0-0 2-4 7 1 2 1 0 6 13 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 12 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 5 5 -
Q. Thomas 12 1-3 0-0 2-4 5 1 2 0 1 4 8 -
B. Cheaney 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter