Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.0% | 33.0% | -3.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Gary Harris | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Travis Trice | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Matt Costello | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Larkin * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| D. Scott * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| T. McKinney-Jones * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| K. Kadji * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | - |
| R. Brown | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Gamble | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Jekiri | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter