Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers -1 (72-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Marhold * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Kadeem Pantophlet * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Sean Johnson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Martins Abele * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Colter | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| J. Jones | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 25 | - |
| J. Jones | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Quevyn Winters | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Marvin Binney | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Torres | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Canty * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Tab Hamilton * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Nathan Healy * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Jamaal Trice * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Michael Obacha * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Chris Burgess | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tommy Spagnolo | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Okam | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tevin Baskin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter