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2012-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% +1.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (73-68). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lenzelle Smith Jr. * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 11 18 -
Aaron Craft * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 11 13 -
Deshaun Thomas * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 16 19 -
Sam Thompson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 2 4 11 -
Evan Ravenel * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 8 11 -
Amir Williams 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 0 4 15 -
Shannon Scott 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 5 10 -
LaQuinton Ross 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 11 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quinn Cook * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 8 2 0 3 12 25 -
Mason Plumlee * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 17 2 0 1 2 21 39 -
Rasheed Sulaimon * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 17 20 -
Ryan Kelly * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 15 20 -
Seth Curry * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Tyler Thornton 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 5 -
Josh Hairston 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Amile Jefferson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Alex Murphy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter