Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +29.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +43 (93-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewayne Russell * | 34 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Gaellen Bewernick * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Gabe Rogers * | 26 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Michael Dunn * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Ephraim Ekanem * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stallon Saldivar | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Max Jacobsen | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Blake Hamilton | 13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jordyn Martin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ben Olayinka | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bryce Gosar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luis Flores | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Heine | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Hill * | 25 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Ashley * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Nick Johnson * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Kaleb Tarczewski | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Parrom | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Grant Jerrett | 16 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jordin Mayes | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Angelo Chol | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Gabe York | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Max Wiepking | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Drew Mellon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quinton Crawford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacob Hazzard | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter