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2012-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.4 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +18 (60-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Evans * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 4 0 3 12 14 -
Anthony Nieves * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 8 4 -
LeAntwan Luckett * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 11 11 -
Josh Nicholas * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 0 1 7 -
Michael Starks * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 10 -
Ian Francis 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 4 10 -
Stephane Raquil 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Devonte Hampton 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Terrance Birdie 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
Jamaal Hester 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyrel Hunt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Marius Myles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Craig Sword * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 5 0 5 14 20 -
Roquez Johnson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 6 13 15 -
Tyson Cunningham * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 3 7 -
Trivante Bloodman * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 3 9 -
Gavin Ware * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 1 7 18 -
Fred Thomas 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 14 22 -
Colin Borchert 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 10 -
Wendell Lewis 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
Baxter Price 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter