๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - โœ—
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 โœ— (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 31.9% 68.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% - โœ—

Actual: Harvard Crimson -7 (78-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Voelkel * 33 1-1 1-1 4-4 4 4 1 0 2 7 13 -
Sandro Carissimo * 32 8-11 4-5 5-6 1 6 1 1 1 25 22 -
Candon Rusin * 25 2-7 0-3 3-5 2 1 1 0 0 7 4 -
Ethan O'Day * 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 2 0 6 10 -
Luke Apfeld * 18 6-10 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 13 8 -
Clancy Rugg 27 6-10 0-3 4-5 1 1 0 0 3 16 5 -
Trey Blue 22 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 1 3 7 6 -
Josh Elbaum 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Brendan Kilpatrick 11 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 6 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Chambers * 39 4-8 2-3 6-6 2 8 0 0 2 16 16 -
W. Saunders * 38 7-12 1-1 6-8 4 4 4 1 0 21 22 -
L. Rivard * 37 5-11 4-9 3-3 5 3 0 0 2 17 12 -
S. Moundou-Missi * 18 0-2 0-1 2-5 4 0 1 1 2 2 4 -
K. Smith * 16 4-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 3 9 3 -
C. Webster 26 2-2 2-2 1-6 1 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
J. Travis 24 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 6 6 -
A. Okolie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Nesbitt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter