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2012-11-27

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 โœ“ (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.2% 92.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +24 (83-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McAdoo * 30 4-15 0-0 2-6 9 0 0 1 1 10 4 -
Marcus Paige * 29 5-11 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 11 5 -
Dexter Strickland * 28 6-10 0-0 2-3 2 3 1 0 2 14 8 -
Reggie Bullock * 27 2-9 0-3 1-2 9 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
Desmond Hubert * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Leslie McDonald 22 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Brice Johnson 16 5-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 10 4 -
Joel James 16 1-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J.P. Tokoto 13 2-7 0-2 1-2 2 0 2 0 0 5 2 -
Jackson Simmons 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
Luke Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Hulls * 32 5-8 3-5 0-0 7 8 2 0 0 13 22 -
Cody Zeller * 28 8-13 0-0 4-6 8 1 1 4 0 20 21 -
Victor Oladipo * 25 8-13 0-2 3-4 4 1 0 1 0 19 12 -
Yogi Ferrell * 23 0-6 0-0 2-2 5 6 0 0 1 2 6 -
Christian Watford * 21 1-9 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Will Sheehey 26 8-12 3-4 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 19 14 -
Remy Abell 15 1-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Jeremy Hollowell 13 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 5 0 -
Maurice Creek 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Austin Etherington 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Jeff Howard 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter