Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✗ (24.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +24 (83-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 30 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Paige * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Hubert * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. McDonald | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| B. Johnson | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. James | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Simmons | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hulls * | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| C. Zeller * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| V. Oladipo * | 25 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Y. Ferrell * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Watford * | 21 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| W. Sheehey | 26 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| R. Abell | 15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Hollowell | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Creek | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Etherington | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Howard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter