Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.6 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Payton * | 39 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| S. Wronkoski * | 36 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Long * | 35 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| E. Moore * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Mbamalu * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Brown | 14 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Thompson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Shepherd | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Moss | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Lazare | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Barnett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Matt Costello | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter