Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | -4.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans -6 (60-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 36 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 34 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 29 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Spencer | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| D. Polee II | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| W. Shepard | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fontan * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J.T. Terrell * | 34 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| E. Wise * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Dedmon * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| B. Wesley * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Stewart | 20 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| O. Oraby | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Fuller | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Bryan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| G. Allen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter