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2012-11-25

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -4.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“
Margin 69.6% 30.4% -4.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.8% 38.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.7% 22.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.3% 39.7% - โœ“

Actual: USC Trojans -6 (60-66). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xavier Thames * 36 4-13 3-6 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 14 2 -
Jamaal Franklin * 34 4-15 1-5 8-8 9 3 1 1 5 17 11 -
J.J. O'Brien * 30 6-9 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 1 1 12 8 -
James Rahon * 29 6-7 3-3 2-2 2 0 2 1 0 17 15 -
Deshawn Stephens * 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Skylar Spencer 30 0-1 0-0 2-4 11 0 0 0 0 2 12 -
Dwayne Polee II 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
Winston Shepard 17 0-3 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jio Fontan * 36 3-12 1-3 2-4 4 9 0 0 4 9 6 -
J.T. Terrell * 34 2-11 1-7 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 7 -1 -
Eric Wise * 25 6-12 0-1 2-2 7 0 1 1 1 14 10 -
Dewayne Dedmon * 25 3-7 0-0 1-2 10 0 2 2 1 7 13 -
Byron Wesley * 20 1-6 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 1 0 3 3 -
Ari Stewart 20 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 9 6 -
Omar Oraby 16 3-8 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 3 0 6 5 -
Aaron Fuller 15 1-4 0-0 2-3 6 0 2 0 0 4 8 -
Chass Bryan 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Greg Allen 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter