Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +22.9 | ✗ (24.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 39 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 29 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Chris O'Brien * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 24 | 4-12 | 3-11 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Drake U'u | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Drew II * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Anderson * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - |
| David Wear * | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Travis Wear | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Adams | 20 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Joshua Smith | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tony Parker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter