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Western Illinois Leathernecks 38
@
Savannah State Tigers 39
2012-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Western Illinois Leathernecks Savannah State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 47.9% 52.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% - ✗
Margin 61.2% 38.8% -2.5 ✗ (3.5 off)
Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% - ✗

Actual: Savannah State Tigers +1 (39-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McAvoy III * 38 1-7 0-2 1-2 6 4 2 1 0 3 9 -
C. Clark III * 35 3-11 2-7 1-3 1 1 0 0 1 9 -1 -
J. Houpt * 34 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
T. Parks * 31 3-9 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 2 6 6 -
A. Link * 28 5-8 0-0 1-1 4 0 4 1 0 11 12 -
J. Foster 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
M. Ochereobia 9 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
J. Hawthorne 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

Savannah State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Smith * 33 0-2 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 0 1 8 -
P. Blackman * 30 5-10 1-3 2-2 5 5 0 0 2 13 11 -
R. Hassan * 27 6-12 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 5 13 2 -
J. Smith * 26 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 4 0 2 9 -
S. Wilson * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Louis 25 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 -
D. Williams 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
K. White 12 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
P. Hendley 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
R. Burger 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
C. Spears 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter