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2012-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“
Margin 20.8% 79.2% +7.4 โœ“ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +20 (79-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Rosenberg * 33 2-7 0-3 5-7 5 2 3 1 3 9 10 -
Brian Barbour * 28 2-10 1-4 4-5 2 6 3 0 5 9 5 -
Mark Cisco * 25 2-4 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Grant Mullins * 23 4-8 4-5 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 14 7 -
Cory Osetkowski * 16 0-1 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 1 0 2 7 -
Steve Frankoski 19 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
Zach En'Wezoh 16 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 1 0 0 4 -
Maodo Lo 14 2-2 1-1 2-3 0 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
John Daniels 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Isaac Cohen 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Noah Springwater 5 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Samer Ozeir 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cody Doolin * 36 4-7 2-4 3-4 4 4 1 0 2 13 13 -
De'End Parker * 33 12-18 2-4 5-7 3 2 3 0 3 31 18 -
Cole Dickerson * 30 3-9 1-2 3-6 14 0 1 0 4 10 12 -
Tim Derksen * 17 3-8 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
Tao Xu * 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
Mark Tollefsen 18 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
Chris Adams 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 4 -
Matt Christiansen 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Avry Holmes 13 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
Frank Rogers 9 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Gavin Hoffmann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter