Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.4% | 21.6% | -7.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McElvain | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Reves * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| K. Butler * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| S. White-Miller * | 28 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Edwards * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| K. Gruszecki * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Outler | 28 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| D. Charles | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Gainey | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Rodgers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Miller * | 40 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Raijon Kelly * | 36 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Tim Williams * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Tyler Hood * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Hayman * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Clide Geffrard | 28 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Russell Wilson | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Will Cook | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Levi Barnes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter