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2012-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Wagner Seahawks North Carolina Central Eagles Spread Result
Elo 47.7% 52.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 โœ— (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—

Actual: North Carolina Central Eagles -2 (36-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Burton * 33 3-8 2-5 2-2 6 1 2 0 2 10 9 -
Jonathon Williams * 30 3-10 0-1 5-6 6 0 2 0 2 11 7 -
Kenneth Ortiz * 26 3-7 0-1 2-4 1 1 2 0 5 8 0 -
Naofall Folahan * 21 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 5 2 3 6 -
Dwaun Anderson * 17 0-2 0-1 0-2 4 0 2 0 6 0 -2 -
Josh Thompson 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 2 2 0 5 -
Orlando Parker 21 1-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 3 5 4 -
Eric Fanning 15 0-1 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 1 3 -
Hugo Naurais 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Langston Burnett 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mario Moody 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Central Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Willis * 39 2-8 0-2 1-2 6 2 2 0 3 5 4 -
Emanuel Chapman * 32 0-2 0-2 1-2 3 1 3 0 3 1 3 -
Stanton Kidd * 32 2-14 1-4 2-2 6 0 0 0 4 7 -5 -
Jeremy Ingram * 28 3-10 2-5 2-2 2 0 1 1 6 10 -2 -
Jay Copeland 36 4-12 0-0 0-4 9 1 1 2 1 8 8 -
Drimir Ferguson 14 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
Karamo Jawara 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Alfonzo Houston 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter