Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | +4.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | +1.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -3 (68-71). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Eberhard * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | +4.7 |
| Mikh McKinney * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | +3.1 |
| Dylan Garrity * | 32 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | +0.4 |
| John Dickson * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -11.6 |
| Joey Quigley * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Konner Veteto | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | +6.8 |
| Jackson Carbajal | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.6 |
| Cody Dempsey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Julian Demalleville | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +7.4 |
| Jordan Salley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaQuentin Miles * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | -5.8 |
| Robert Crawford * | 35 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +4.3 |
| Jarvis Garner * | 33 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | -5.0 |
| DeShone McClure * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Jordan Harks * | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | -5.2 |
| Tirrell Brown | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Daouda Berete | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.5 |
| Ryan Williams | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Zach Padgett | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
* = starter