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2012-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 71.9% 28.1% -6.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 57.8% 42.2% - โœ“
Margin 47.5% 52.5% +0.5 โœ— (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -4 (66-70). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luis Jacobo * 28 5-10 3-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 13 8 -
Frank Gaines * 27 2-8 1-2 7-9 4 0 0 0 3 12 5 -
Kevin Harden * 26 0-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
Pierre Bland * 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
M. Hines 29 5-6 0-0 5-9 8 1 0 3 3 15 18 -
Isaiah McCray 28 6-7 1-1 5-7 4 2 3 0 1 18 19 -
Michael Kibiloski 23 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 5 3 -4 -
Joseph Edwards 20 4-8 0-1 1-3 4 0 1 0 1 9 5 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Mitola * 33 6-13 4-8 2-2 1 2 2 0 2 18 8 -
John Golden * 32 5-8 1-3 4-4 6 0 0 1 1 15 13 -
Gabas Maldunas * 25 3-8 0-0 4-5 8 2 1 0 0 10 13 -
Jvonte Brooks * 22 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 3 0 1 2 3 11 -
Kevin Crescenzi * 18 2-7 0-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
Malik Gill 28 3-12 0-4 2-2 1 3 2 0 3 8 -1 -
Tommy Carpenter 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 8 5 -
Brandon McDonnell 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Connor Boehm 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt LaBove 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyler Melville 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Matt Rennie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter