Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -5 (71-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Plumlee * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 26 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Siva * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 25 | - |
| R. Smith * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Z. Price * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| M. Harrell | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| L. Hancock | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Ware | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter