Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 39 | - |
| Bryant Allen * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Kaza Keane * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| John Wilkins | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Sobolewski * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 32 | - |
| Jared Swopshire * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 28 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Turner | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Tre Demps | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter