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2012-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Army Black Knights Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 4.2% 95.8% -
Bradley-Terry 18.5% 81.5% -
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +14.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% -
Efficiency 93.7% 6.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -
Log Adjusted 31.7% 68.3% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ellis * 37 10-20 3-8 14-15 4 1 0 1 0 37 23 -
J. Herbeck * 35 4-10 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 10 2 -
D. Cox * 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 3 0 0 2 4 9 -
J. Springer * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 2 7 -
T. Plomb * 12 1-4 0-3 1-4 1 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
M. Gramling 26 4-8 1-2 1-2 4 2 3 0 2 10 9 -
A. Stire 25 2-5 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 0 2 7 6 -
K. Wilson 25 4-10 0-2 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 10 1 -
K. Toth 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
L. Toomey 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 0 3 -
K. Ferguson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Williams 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Lenox 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morgan * 48 3-15 2-8 11-11 5 4 1 0 5 19 9 -
M. Grace * 37 5-11 3-4 1-2 2 5 2 0 2 14 10 -
M. Townsend * 29 6-7 0-0 3-8 7 2 0 0 1 15 16 -
B. Sherrod * 28 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 3 2 5 9 -
S. Martin * 26 3-5 2-4 3-4 1 2 0 0 2 11 7 -
J. Sears 26 4-8 0-0 2-5 12 0 0 1 1 10 14 -
J. Pritchard 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Kreisberg 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Duren 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 3 2 -
A. Cotton 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter