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2012-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 59.0% 41.0% - โœ“
Margin 74.5% 25.5% -5.9 โœ“ (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 67.4% 32.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.2% 11.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -24 (31-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Drew Crawford * 35 4-13 0-4 4-4 6 1 2 1 1 12 8 -
Dave Sobolewski * 33 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 7 7 -
Reggie Hearn * 30 4-8 2-4 2-3 3 2 1 1 0 12 11 -
Jared Swopshire * 27 4-8 2-4 5-5 5 1 0 0 0 15 13 -
Alex Olah * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
Mike Turner 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 -
Alex Marcotullio 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Tre Demps 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kale Abrahamson 8 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
Omar Jimenez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Montgomery III 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Chier Ajou 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nikola Cerina 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sanjay Lumpkin 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyan Anderson * 30 2-8 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 4 -5 -
Jarvis Ray * 27 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -6 -
Devonta Abron * 27 5-8 0-0 2-5 8 1 1 1 1 12 14 -
Garlon Green * 24 2-10 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 4 -3 -
N. Butler Lind * 19 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
Connell Crossland 22 2-4 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
Adrick McKinney 18 1-6 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 1 1 3 1 -
Clyde Smith 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Thomas Montigel 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Zurcher 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter