Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | +14.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +10.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars +19 (66-47). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Needham * | 35 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | -6.5 |
| Desmond Wade * | 30 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -15.6 |
| Maurice Barrow * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Keith Matthews * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -18.0 |
| Josip Mikulic * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.8 |
| Amadou Sidibe | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -10.2 |
| Marcus Gilbert | 20 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -8.7 |
| Colin Nickerson | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +5.9 |
| Justin Jenkins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Coleman Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaDontae Henton * | 40 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 16 | +11.4 |
| Josh Fortune * | 39 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | +15.8 |
| Bryce Cotton * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +20.9 |
| Lee Goldsbrough * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | +10.3 |
| Kadeem Batts * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Brice Kofane | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Ted Bancroft | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +11.3 |
* = starter