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2012-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 59.1% 40.9% -
Bradley-Terry 74.5% 25.5% -
Margin 64.3% 35.7% -3.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Artis * 32 5-14 1-5 0-0 6 2 3 0 3 11 5 -
D. Dotson * 30 8-18 1-6 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 19 7 -
E.J. Singler * 22 3-10 1-6 0-0 2 2 3 1 2 7 3 -
J. Loyd * 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Woods * 9 1-5 0-0 5-8 1 0 0 1 1 7 3 -
C. Emory 32 6-9 0-1 4-5 9 0 0 0 2 16 14 -
A. Kazemi 30 1-2 0-0 5-6 8 0 2 0 3 7 12 -
B. Carter 23 3-5 0-0 6-6 5 1 0 0 1 12 12 -
W. Austin 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Kuemper 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
W. Moore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Marshall * 33 3-8 0-1 1-2 6 7 1 0 5 7 8 -
M. Moser * 33 2-6 0-2 5-5 8 3 2 1 2 9 15 -
K. Reinhardt * 32 6-15 4-8 2-2 2 2 1 1 3 18 6 -
A. Bennett * 31 7-14 1-4 7-7 10 1 1 0 1 22 19 -
B. Dejean-Jones * 24 3-12 1-8 4-4 0 3 1 0 3 11 0 -
J. Hawkins 28 3-9 2-7 4-4 5 2 1 0 2 12 9 -
Q. Thomas 12 0-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 1 0 0 3 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Goodman 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter