Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Marymount Lions | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -15 (63-78). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Ireland * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 33 | +11.5 |
| Ayodeji Egbeyemi * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 29 | +5.7 |
| Ashley Hamilton * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 28 | +8.0 |
| Chase Flint * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | +1.3 |
| Godwin Okonji * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Alex Osborne | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -2.2 |
| C.J. Blackwell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Nick Stover | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +4.4 |
| Marin Mornar | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +4.0 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Davis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Corey Stern * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 19 | +5.0 |
| Vonn Jones * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | +1.7 |
| Reid Koenen * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 17 | +0.6 |
| Nick Hinton * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.6 |
| Matt Staff | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2.9 |
| Darius Richardson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Ray Dorsey | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -9.5 |
| Phil Hawkins | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10.6 |
| Joel Wright | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -15.6 |
| Basil Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.2 |
| Deonte' Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter